PUBLIC METHODOLOGY
Evidence before exposure.
A preview of the disclosure framework used to separate defined conditions, historical evidence and future outcomes.
01 / LIFECYCLE
From hypothesis to versioned record.
An agent begins with a defined question, named input types and explicit conditions. A detection records when those conditions are met; evaluation and version changes happen later.
- Hypothesis
- Inputs
- Conditions
- Detection
- Evaluation
- Version update
02 / DATA PROVENANCE
Name the source and its state.
Every public source record should name the data type, attribution, last update, expected cadence, delays and licensing review state. The current site uses illustrative datasets and claims no production provider integration.
03 / CONFIDENCE
Confidence needs a target and a horizon.
Confidence is the agent’s assessment of a defined condition over a stated horizon. It is not expected return, a guarantee, or probability of profit.
04 / BACKTESTING
Gross, net and holdout are different claims.
A publishable backtest must expose its period, data source, fees, slippage, sample size, benchmark, agent version, assumptions and limitations.
05 / CORRECTIONS
Records should be correctable, not silently replaced.
A later product batch will define named owners, review steps, changelogs and a correction channel before records can be considered production research.